Probability
Random experiments, outcomes, sample space, events and the probability of an event for coins, dice, cards and numbers — Maharashtra SSC Std X Algebra Ch 5
Board Exam Tips
- →Write the answer in four steps: S (or n(S)), the event A, n(A), and then P(A) = n(A)/n(S). Each step carries marks, and 'complete the activity' questions are built on these blanks.
- →For two dice or two coins, write the sample space as ordered pairs: (1, 2) and (2, 1) are different outcomes.
- →Learn the structure of a pack of 52 cards: 4 suits of 13, 26 red and 26 black, 12 face cards (J, Q, K) and 4 aces.
- →For 'not' events, count the outcomes of 'not A' directly, or find P(A) and use P(A') = 1 − P(A).
- →Simplify the fraction. Any probability less than 0 or more than 1 means a counting mistake.
📐 Formulas(14)
Sample Space
Event
Probability of an Event★ Board fav
| Symbol | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Probability of event A | |
| Number of outcomes favourable to A | |
| Total number of outcomes in the sample space |
Range of Probability★ Board fav
Sure (Certain) Event
Impossible Event
Equally Likely Outcomes
Sum of Probabilities of All Outcomes
Complement of an Event
Tossing Coins
Throwing Dice
Counting Tip: Sum on Two Dice
Pack of Playing Cards
Two-Digit Numbers from k Different Non-Zero Digits
✏️ Solved Examples
A fair die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting a prime number.
Write the sample space.
Two dice are thrown together. Find the probability that (i) the sum of the numbers is 8, (ii) the sum is a multiple of 4.
Each die has 6 outcomes, so there are 6 × 6 ordered pairs.
A card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled pack of 52 cards. Find the probability that the card is (i) a red face card, (ii) not a king.
Sample space.
Two-digit numbers are formed using the digits 2, 3, 5, 7 without repeating a digit. One such number is chosen at random. Find the probability that it is (i) greater than 50, (ii) a prime number.
List the sample space: 4 choices for the tens digit and 3 for the units digit.
⚠️ Traps & Common Mistakes
- 1
Treating (1, 2) and (2, 1) as the same outcome when two dice are thrown
✓The dice are different, so these are two separate outcomes. That is why n(S) = 36, not 21.
- 2
Counting aces as face cards
✓Face cards are only jack, queen and king — 12 cards. Aces are not face cards.
- 3
Writing the formula upside down as n(S)/n(A)
✓P(A) = favourable outcomes ÷ total outcomes = n(A)/n(S). The answer can never exceed 1.
- 4
Counting common outcomes twice in 'A or B' events
✓For 'a multiple of 3 or 5' from 1 to 30, numbers like 15 and 30 belong to both lists — count them once.
- 5
Repeating digits when the question says 'without repetition'
✓Numbers such as 22 or 55 are not allowed. Read the condition before listing the sample space.
- 6
Leaving the answer unsimplified or as a count
✓Give P(A) as a fraction in lowest terms (or decimal / percentage), not just n(A).
🎯 Practice Yourself
- Q1
Three coins are tossed together. Find the probability of getting exactly two heads.
- Q2
A bag contains 4 red, 6 white and 5 black balls. One ball is drawn at random. Find the probability that it is not white.
- Q3
Cards numbered 1 to 30 are put in a box and one card is drawn at random. Find the probability that the number is a multiple of 3 or of 5.
- Q4
For an experiment, n(S) = 40 and P(A) = 3/8. Find n(A).
- Q5
Two dice are thrown. Find the probability that both dice show the same number.
- Q6
Which of these cannot be the probability of an event: 0.85, 3/2, 17%, 0, −0.2?
📝 Notes
Probability
Probability measures how likely an event is, on a scale from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). In Std X the whole chapter rests on one formula, — the skill is in writing the sample space correctly.
Key words
- Random experiment: an experiment whose result cannot be predicted, though all possible results are known (tossing a coin, throwing a die).
- Outcome: one possible result.
- Sample space (S): the set of all outcomes; is how many there are.
- Event: a subset of the sample space, usually described in words ("getting an even number").
Writing the sample space
- Coins: each coin gives H or T, so n coins give outcomes.
- Dice: two dice give 36 ordered pairs. Write them as a 6 × 6 grid of pairs to avoid missing any.
- Cards: 52 cards — learn the suits, colours and face cards.
- Numbers from digits: list them systematically by tens digit.
Approach to a board question
- Write S (or at least n(S)).
- Name the event, list its outcomes and write n(A).
- Write and simplify.
For an event with the word "not", it is often quicker to find the probability of the opposite event and subtract it from 1.
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